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Description of Seasonal Predictions Offered by
Weather Logistics UK ...
Rainfall outlook (ratio of rainy days compared to average)
Range of temperatures expected for the season
Expected Heating / Cooling Degree Days (for utility or air conditioning energy)
The overall air flow direction (north west to south west ratio)
HeatCast - probability of a heat wave during the summer
SnowCast - how many snow days will their be next winter?
*Each seasonal forecast consists of an 8 to 9 page pdf document sent by email attachment. They include free advice, assistance and monthly updates for the months purchased until the begining of the seasonal period.
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Development of a Bad Driving Weather Service
Weather Logistics UK is in the early stages of developing a "bad driving weather" application to improve the safety of road users in the UK and Europe. If you are interested in satellite navigation applications that can provide detailed weather forecasts along your journey, with the option to divert your route, then please complete our short online survey. You will automatically enter into a competition to win a 30GBP cash prize.
For more information on the numerical Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model used to produce mesoscale outputs, please visit the Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs.
CLICK HERE TO ENTER OUR COMPETITION
Summer predictions of rainfall (9 Regions)
The figure below shows our final weather predictions of rainfall for summer 2011, an excerpt from our seasonal weather prediction. The figure indicates the percentage deviation of UK and Irish rainfall from the 1961 - 1990 climatological averages. A value of 100% on the y-axis indicates where the rainfall is expected to be close to average, whilst the upper and lower range of the blue bars indicate the 90% confidence range of rainfall anomalies for each of 9 regions distributed over the British Isles. Rainfall predictions prove particularly useful for agriculture, in planning the harvesting and nurturing of arable crops.
Recent dry weather throughout the Spring months of March to May, caused record droughts over parts of the south-east of England and East Anglia with parts receiving less than 20% of their normal monthly rainfall totals. Meanwhile, a strong jet stream brought unsettled weather to parts of Scotland, with rainfall anomalies for the Spring season of 150%.
The long range weather predictions produced in June 2011, demonstrate that inspite of the dry Spring in England and Wales, the summer months of June to August were expected to be near-average to wet. Weather Logistics UK predicted that the nation as a whole would receive 4% more rainfall than average, mainly in the form of thundery showers. We also predicted that Scotland would receive on average 15% more rainfall than its long term seasonal average.
Summer predictions of temperature
Please click the link below to view the summer temperature predictions for summer 2011 (final edition is available on Amazon Kindle) ...
Click here for the seasonal predictions of the minimum and maximum seasonal temperature averages.
